Wednesday, December 23, 2009

The Balance Between Security And Protest


Security around world leaders has always been a major issue and in the age of global terrorism it is even more important.

America claims the Secret Service who protect the President are the best trained armed guards in the world.

Hardly surprising when you consider there have been assassination attempts, of varying degrees of success and common sense, on every president since Richard Nixon.

So it must have come as a shock to a major European nation when its Prime Minister was hospitalised after being struck by a model of a cathedral.

Silvio Berlusconi is far from popular in Italy and has been the butt of more than the occasional joke abroad.

But when you resort to propelling tourist souvenirs do you not relinquish the high ground?

At both the G20 in London and in Copenhagen there were reports of vandalism by young people dressed in black wearing gas masks.

Anyone who was in London in April this year will tell you of the stark contrast between those there trying to make a genuine point and those clearly there to make trouble.

Of cause these are not the only events this year which have got us thinking about what means we use to attain our ends.

When two British soldiers were killed outside Massareene barracks in Northern Ireland in March it did more to cement anti-nationalist sentiment than the Good Friday Agreement.

The people of Ireland, both Protestant and Catholic, united for the first time in nearly a century determined not to go back to the days of road blocks, peace walls and car bombs.

But what about world leaders?

Recently at a state dinner in honour of Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh at the White House two people gatecrashed, and despite not even being invited met President Obama.

When Obama was running for President there were fears he would become a target for assassination attempts from white supremacists.

In fact a plot to kill him at the Democratic National Convention in Denver was foiled before he even accepted the nomination.

This in turn has let him open to political satirists.
One comedian pointed out one of the reasons people were so behind a black president is because you knew someone would try and kill him.

Then of cause there is the now legendary joke of the problems the Secret Service were having protecting Obama because every time they shouted ‘get down’ he started dancing.

Of cause the gatecrashers, like the man who dressed up as bin Laden for Prince William’s 21st birthday, meant no harm, and it seems in most cases the attacker was mentally unstable.

The man who threw the porcelain model at Berlusconi had apparently suffered from a mental unbalance, and Chester Plummer attempted to kill President Ford by walking across the White House lawn and hitting him with a three foot length of metal piping is clearly lacking some creative cunning.

And now allegedly mentally unbalanced women are jumping the barriers at midnight mass to attack the Holy Father. Admittedly the Pope wields less power than in the days of Machiavelli but several of the substantial security presence looked stunned and casually made their way back to attend to this global religious figurehead.

It is true the public need to be given their chance to voice personal displeasures with our leaders. But surely in this era of global threats and Patriot Actesque laws this should not be happening, and why do we still so often resort to violence.

Maybe this is the time which will produce the next Dr King or Ghandi?

Tuesday, December 08, 2009

What Can We Expect From Copenhagen?


It is finally here. The most eagerly anticipated week of the year since the G20 in London is finally upon us. Also this week the Copenhagen Climate Conference got underway.

Regardless if you are a tree hugging liberal or cynical conservative the results of this week could have far reaching implications across the world.

But is a deal likely or even desirable?

Obviously if you are a firm believer in global warming you will see a deal as essential in much the same way a sceptic will tell you this week is a waste of time and money.

However to reach a deal a lot of divisions need to be bridged and Berlinesque walls demolished.

Unfortunately for those expecting a deal each country has entirely different expectations.

The third world needs a push in the right direction to avoid basing their entire economic future on oil.

Developing economies such as India and Brazil need to be able to expand further without compromising the future of the planet.

Meanwhile the developed world, most notably America, seems unwilling to give up the lifestyle they have carved out for themselves in the last century, although bizarrely it is they who seem to be pushing most for the global deal.

Some might say it is a bit hypocritical for nations of car drivers to tell nations of bicycle riders they need to reduce their carbon footprint.

Unfortunately some see the developing economies as the most troubling environmentally.

India, Brazil and China are producing higher carbon emissions the more their economies grow for obvious reasons and seem unwilling to relinquish this for even more obvious reasons.

However for the poorer countries to avoid falling into this trap they need foreign investment, which is not forthcoming without them making commitments first.

But should the developing world be the ones to make the first vital move?

America produces far more than its fair share of carbon and is the spiritual home of the most inefficient gas-guzzling vehicles known to mankind.

It was George W Bush who refused to sign up to Kyoto and avoid setting any kind of emissions standards. Can anyone imagine what this world would be like now if Al Gore had been declared the winner in Florida?

It is clear every country is going to have to make sacrifices if a deal is to be reached.

The developing world, most notably the rising economies will have to make assurances they will learn from the mistakes the developed world has made and look for a low carbon way to grow.

The developed world meanwhile must look for ways to make substantial changes to show the rest of the world it can be done.

Of cause none of this is likely to happen without the financial backing of the developed world, none of whom have any money to give out at the moment.

Then we come to the most obvious problem that not all people believe in it.

According to recent poll in the UK nearly 50% of people we dubious about the mankind’s effect on global warming.

The hacked e-mails from the University of East Anglia have caused a huge rift in the environmental groups and have galvanised the sceptics.

On top of this some attending the conference flat out oppose a deal being made.

BNP leader Nick Griffin, who is representing the EU at Copenhagen, has called climate change a myth and has called green taxes a money grab.

Despite whatever personal feeling you might have towards his politics he is certainly not the man people want to see representing the EU at a celebrity golf match let alone something important.

However at least he is turning up. President Barack Obama will not attend until the last days of the summit, with many saying an American commitment is the only thing that matters.

To compound all of this there is the problem of the oil producing countries.

Most oil rich countries have their entire wealth tied up in petroleum

Most oil rich countries have huge stakes in the national oil producer.

These countries who would be seen as ‘rogue nations’ if it was not for oil can now see a bleaker future on the horizon.

If it was possible to see beyond the scientific doubts of climate change the barriers still look imposing.

The developing world will not commit until America has set emissions standards and is helping them financially to secure a greener future, and the developed world will not commit or fund until they have the assurances of the developing countries.

And then you still come round to this problem of scepticism over Climate Change itself.

Is a deal desirable? On the face of it yes, although as long as there are sceptics people will find this debatable.

Can a deal be reached? On the face of it no.